Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.049739 0.054048 0.058411 0.063153 0.068155 0.073267 0.078879
2025-06-15 0.043448 0.049811 0.056484 0.063978 0.072132 0.080709 0.090388
2025-06-22 0.038491 0.046302 0.054752 0.064512 0.075412 0.087153 0.100694
2025-06-29 0.034233 0.043060 0.052884 0.064517 0.077809 0.092417 0.109578
2025-07-06 0.031862 0.041665 0.052845 0.066366 0.082106 0.099688 0.120650
2025-07-13 0.028568 0.038879 0.050931 0.065817 0.083465 0.103491 0.127701
2025-07-20 0.026131 0.036902 0.049781 0.065989 0.085519 0.107986 0.135473
2025-07-27 0.024415 0.035662 0.049387 0.066951 0.088416 0.113402 0.144285
2025-08-03 0.023197 0.034944 0.049545 0.068510 0.091978 0.119578 0.153993
2025-08-10 0.020428 0.032017 0.046765 0.066280 0.090801 0.120004 0.156807
2025-08-17 0.018659 0.030293 0.045406 0.065729 0.091601 0.122738 0.162330
2025-08-24 0.017077 0.028713 0.044140 0.065207 0.092365 0.125377 0.167705
2025-08-31 0.016514 0.028552 0.044769 0.067185 0.096359 0.132094 0.178203
2025-09-07 0.015716 0.028003 0.044841 0.068415 0.099405 0.137664 0.187352
2025-09-14 0.014812 0.027237 0.044569 0.069154 0.101804 0.142434 0.195543
2025-09-21 0.013767 0.026190 0.043850 0.069246 0.103331 0.146095 0.202368
2025-09-28 0.013401 0.026150 0.044530 0.071229 0.107339 0.152911 0.213167
2025-10-05 0.012296 0.024884 0.043398 0.070672 0.107956 0.155395 0.218530
2025-10-12 0.011493 0.024042 0.042833 0.070863 0.109540 0.159100 0.225432
2025-10-19 0.010978 0.023632 0.042872 0.071878 0.112217 0.164213 0.234131
2025-10-26 0.010661 0.023529 0.043356 0.073518 0.115745 0.170444 0.244289
2025-11-02 0.009367 0.021672 0.041110 0.071177 0.113787 0.169484 0.245213
2025-11-09 0.008596 0.020667 0.040115 0.070599 0.114209 0.171613 0.250091